Look, I've had customers come in asking me why the Supreme Court keepskicking the AR-15 case down the road. Here's the deal — they didn't dodge it, they just had too much on their plate this term.
The Court heard about 60-70 cases this year covering massive stuff: birthright citizenship, Trump vs. Slaughter (that could gut Humphrey's Executor and break the deep state's protection), voting rights, even gender sports issues. When you've got that kind of generational docket, something's got to give.
But here's what people miss — the Court DID take two important Second Amendment cases this term. United States v. Hemani is about disarming marijuana users (a huge issue for gun owners), and Wolford v. Lopez challenges Hawaii's crazy law making every restaurant and gas station a gun-free zone unless you get express permission from the owner. Both will land by June, and both will set precedent for our rights.
Now here's the good part. Justice Kavanaugh himself signaled spring 2025 that an AR-15 case was coming within a term or two. That's not an accident — he sees what's coming. The Seventh Circuit's Barnett case out of Chicago and the Third Circuit's Cheeseman case from Philadelphia are both waiting in the pipeline, and the Trump DOJ is already fighting those hardware bans. One of those will be the vehicle.
Bottom line: If they take the AR-15 case next term (October 2026), we're going to win big. These assault weapons bans have no constitutional leg to stand on after Bruen. The Court just needed to handle the big stuff first and save room for the fight that matters.
So when someone asks me if the Court is scared of the AR-15 question, I tell them no — they just had to prioritize. And now the chessboard is set for next year.